Monday 6 August 2012

BFIL



                                                BF INVESTMENTS LTD.


BFIL is the erstwhile investment division of BF Utilities Ltd. that was demerged in FY10.

CMP = 42/-

MCap. = 160Cr.

Networth = 618/-

Debt = 0





1.)   CASH :

Intercorporate Deposit = Rs.170Cr. (Hence a net-net stock)

Interest receivable = Rs.30.5Cr.

Investment in Liquid MF = Rs.19.5Cr.

Total Cash & Cash Equivalents = Rs.220Cr.

EV = ( - Rs.60Cr.)

Hence, BFIL is a net-net stock.


2.)   QUOTED INVESTMENTS :

Company Name : No. of shares held x CMP = Value of Holding

Automotive Axles – 53.67 lakh shares x Rs.360/- = Rs.236Cr.
Bharat Forge - 58 lakh shares x Rs.300/- = Rs.174Cr
Kalyani Steels Ltd. – 1.7Cr. shares x Rs.60/- = Rs.102Cr.
Kalyani Investment Company Ltd. – 17 lakh shares x Rs.380/- = Rs.65Cr.
HIKAL - 4.36 lakh shares x Rs.320/- = Rs.14Cr
Kalyani Forge – 5.69 lakh shares x Rs.180/- = Rs.10Cr.

Total Market Value of Quoted Investments = Rs.601Cr.

Book Value of Quoted Investments = Rs.220Cr.

Hence the stock is trading at 73.37% discount to the market value of its quoted investments.


3.)   UNQUOTED INVESTMENTS :

Book Value of Unquoted Investments = Rs.168Cr.



4.)   GRAND TOTAL = CASH + QUOTED INVESTMENTS + UNQUOTED INVESTMENTS = Rs.990Cr. or 84% discount to intrinsic value.



    5.) CASH FLOW :

Interest Income = Rs.23.3Cr.

Dividend Income = Rs.25Cr.

Reoccurring PAT = 43.5Cr. (Dividend Income + Interest Income)

PE = 3.67x

All Holding cos. derive value from the underlying value of their holdings but the ones who also make profits through Dividend & Interest Incomes (which are comparable to their MCap) can be valued like any other routine company which earns a profit from its operating business (a cash flow based valuation can be applied as opposed to an asset based valuation).     

Hence, BFIL is not a typical holding company as even apart from the asset value, it has got sustainable & reoccurring operating cash flows in the form of Dividends & Interest Income to the tune of Rs.43.5Cr.per annum. The dividend income of BFIL is a function of the payout & performance of BFL, KSL & Auto Axles.

There is no reason why BFIL should trade at a cash flow yield of 27% at CMP.



6.)   Share Holding Pattern – INSTITUTIONAL EXODUS :

Institutions                                           Promoters

31/12/10 -                      10.89%                                                 66.09%
31/03/11 –                     10.08%                                                 66.12%



Jun-2012
Mar-2012
Dec-2011
Sep-2011
Jun-2011
Promoter and Promoter Group
70.91 %
70.91 %
70.91 %
68.11 %
66.92 %
Indian
70.91 %
70.91 %
70.91 %
68.11 %
66.92 %
Foreign
--
--
--
--
--
Public
29.09 %
29.09 %
29.09 %
31.89 %
33.08 %
Institutions
2.83 %
2.83 %
5.58 %
6.64 %
9.49 %
FII
2.38 %
2.38 %
5.13 %
6.19 %
9.04 %
DII
0.45 %
0.45 %
0.45 %
0.45 %
0.45 %
Non Institutions
26.26 %
26.26 %
23.51 %
25.25 %
23.59 %
Bodies Corporate
8.37 %
8.50 %
8.36 %
10.29 %
9.40 %
Custodians
--
--
--
--
--
Total
3,76,67,628
3,76,67,628
3,76,67,628
3,76,67,628
3,76,67,628


As is clear from the table above, Institutional Investors exodus has caused this irrational & faulty price.   

BFIL has been unfairly been valued like holding co.

7.)    TRIGGERS :

I.)                 BFL, KSL & Auto Axles increase their dividends.
II.)              BFIL declares dividend.    



8.)   PORTFOLIO WEITAGE = 1%



No comments:

Post a Comment